Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.048680 0.056742 0.065595 0.076022 0.087949 0.101145 0.116833
2025-05-25 0.035712 0.046039 0.058432 0.074330 0.094105 0.117810 0.148285
2025-06-01 0.027981 0.039399 0.054198 0.074622 0.101890 0.136824 0.184721
2025-06-08 0.021828 0.033296 0.049229 0.072695 0.106032 0.151283 0.216844
2025-06-15 0.018914 0.030939 0.048675 0.076295 0.117655 0.176580 0.265957
2025-06-22 0.015796 0.027602 0.046026 0.076243 0.123739 0.194467 0.306301
2025-06-29 0.012969 0.024140 0.042532 0.074203 0.126290 0.207092 0.339829
2025-07-06 0.010936 0.021593 0.040033 0.073248 0.130176 0.221824 0.377645
2025-07-13 0.010059 0.020914 0.040525 0.077246 0.142451 0.250789 0.440423
2025-07-20 0.009127 0.019950 0.040337 0.079955 0.152716 0.277270 0.501344
2025-07-27 0.007779 0.017919 0.037866 0.078147 0.154730 0.289885 0.539890
2025-08-03 0.006773 0.016398 0.036124 0.077425 0.158521 0.305744 0.585158
2025-08-10 0.005735 0.014639 0.033698 0.075140 0.159302 0.316634 0.623259
2025-08-17 0.004910 0.013201 0.031712 0.073467 0.161051 0.329436 0.665989
2025-08-24 0.004359 0.012300 0.030739 0.073756 0.166702 0.350014 0.724882
2025-08-31 0.003735 0.011089 0.028875 0.071849 0.167584 0.361403 0.767131
2025-09-07 0.003532 0.010931 0.029431 0.075412 0.180390 0.397422 0.860287
2025-09-14 0.003146 0.010194 0.028478 0.075360 0.185314 0.417888 0.924049
2025-09-21 0.002712 0.009228 0.026798 0.073342 0.185603 0.428744 0.969079
2025-09-28 0.002386 0.008507 0.025627 0.072397 0.188206 0.444639 1.025711
2025-10-05 0.002298 0.008502 0.026364 0.076352 0.202696 0.487310 1.142044
2025-10-12 0.002165 0.008324 0.026599 0.079032 0.214390 0.524742 1.249799
2025-10-19 0.001891 0.007614 0.025217 0.077244 0.214954 0.537343 1.304324